Russia Attacks Ukraine: research and commentary

Research and commentary from Munk School experts

Read the latest research and commentary from faculty and researchers at the Munk School of Global Affairs & Public Policy.

For journalists: If you are seeking expert commentary or would like to receive our daily list of Munk School faculty and researchers available for comment, please contact Lani Krantz, Communications and Media Relations Specialist (lani.krantz@utoronto.ca) or Gillian Mathurin, Director, Strategic Communications & Public Engagement (gillian.mathurin@utoronto.ca).

EVENTS

March 18-25, 2022

In Conversation: Janice Stein with Minister of Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly
The Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Foreign Affairs, joined Janice Stein, founding director of the Munk School, to discuss Canada’s foreign policy in a time of deep uncertainty and transformation

In Conversation: Russia, Ukraine and China’s Long Game — Kevin Rudd and Peter Mansbridge
Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, and Munk School Distinguished Fellow Peter Mansbridge discuss the status of Russia and China’s relationship and it’s affects on Ukraine.

February 25 – March 4, 2022

Ukraine on Fire: Voices on the Ground
An extensive panel of experts discuss the disaster unfolding in Ukraine

Russia’s Attack on Ukraine: An Expert Roundtable
Distinguished Fellow Peter Mansbridge examines the latest developments of Russia’s advancement into Ukraine with a roundtable of experts.

January 28 – February 4, 2022

Russia’s Attack on Ukraine
As Russia placed a hundred thousand troops on Ukraine’s border, experts on Russian and Ukrainian politics, explore why Putin has provoked this crisis, what the consequences are likely to be and what can be done.

MEDIA COVERAGE

March 18-25, 2022

“Putin needs incentives to end this war”
Janice Stein gives a feature interview to a major German newspaper.
(Die Zeit – German language)

Russia’s war on Ukraine
Stein examines what may influence Vladimir Putin.
(CBC News Network)  

Is Russia’s war in Ukraine approaching a stalemate?
Stein joins a panel to discuss the war.
(TVO: The Agenda)

Foreign affairs minister says Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has unified the West
Before an interview with Janice Stein, Minister of Foreign Affairs Mélanie Joly spoke to an audience of Munk School students and guests.
(National Post – paywall) (CBC) (CBC Radio: The World At Six) (Toronto Star – paywall) (La Presse – French language) (Ming Pao Canada – Chinese language) (CTV News Channel) (CBC Radio News) (Newstalk 1010) (The Globe and Mail – paywall) (Politico)  

The strategic and symbolic importance of Mariupol
Aurel Braun of CERES explains the strategic importance of Mariupol, Ukraine.
(CBC Radio: The Current)

Historian Margaret MacMillan on the challenge Vladimir Putin poses to international order
Distinguished Fellow Margaret MacMillan compares the invasion of Ukraine to Hitler’s invasion of Czechoslovakia.
(CBC Radio: The Current)

Strengthening the eastern flank
CERES Associate Director Robert Austin comments on the emergency NATO summit.
(CBC Radio News Syndication)

A global economic Cold War is coming  
Mark Manger talks about changing economic conditions.
(The Globe and Mail – paywall)

Putin’s war on history is another form of domestic repression
Lynne Viola writes about disinformation.
(The Conversation)

Are Canadians fighting in Ukraine protected by the Geneva Convention? We’ll see 
Mark Kersten comments on laws affecting foreign fighters.
(National Post – paywall)

NATO summit a chance to bolster Ukraine response, experts say. Here’s what to expect
Andres Kasekamp remarks on NATO and Russian deterrence.
(Global)

What does Russia do next? Both sides in Ukraine have reasons to keep fighting and reasons to seek peace  
Andres Kasekamp talks about the next steps in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
(National Post – paywall) (CTV News Channel) (Global)

Could a neutral status help guarantee Ukraine’s safety? Experts weigh in
Aurel Braun gives perspective on Russia’s demands.
(Global)

Putin has interfered in elections everywhere
Lucan Way co-authored a study which found evidence of Russian interference in elections in Western countries.
(Le Journal de Montréal – French language)

WarTok: TikTok is feeding war disinformation to new users within minutes – Misinformation Monitor  
A report mentions Citizen Lab research.
(Newsweek)

Extraordinary NATO meeting  
Aurel Braun discusses whether NATO is taking a strong enough stance against Russia.
(CBC News Network)

Why Russia’s invasion of Ukraine isn’t going to plan   
Aurel Braun comments.
(CTV)

March 11-18, 2022

In Conversation: Janice Stein with Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly
Multiple outlets cover the event that took place in the Campbell Conference Facility.
(CBC News Network) (CP via The Globe and Mail) (The Hill Times – paywall) (CPAC) (CP via Toronto Star) (Canadian Press via CP24) (Munk School via YouTube)
 
Russia, Ukraine and China’s Long Game – Kevin Rudd and Peter Mansbridge In Conversation
Former Australian prime minister Kevin Rudd discusses China’s role in the Ukraine conflict with Distinguished Fellow Peter Mansbridge.
(Munk School via YouTube)
 
Dollars or rubles? Russian debt payments are due, and uncertain.  
Distinguished Fellow Paul Cadario offers comment on Russia’s financial situation.
(New York Times – paywall)
 
The destruction of Ukraine  
Global Justice Lab’s Mark Kersten talks about the legacy of war.
(Washington Post – paywall)
 
China’s Ukraine quagmire
Diana Fu examines China’s messaging.
(Politico)
 
Ukraine and Russia have kept talking. How will they get to a ceasefire — or even peace?  
Janice Stein remarks on the prospect of negotiating a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia.
(Toronto Star – paywall)
 
Zelensky appeals to Parliament of Canada to ask for more help
Lucan Way of CERES gives insight on the importance of Zelensky’s appearance in the House of Commons for a Spanish-language wire story syndicated to at least 39 global outlets.
(Efe via Swiss Info – Spanish language)
 
International Court of Justice orders Russia to cease hostilities in Ukraine
Lynette Ong of the Asian Institute remains on how the ICC ruling will influence the Chinese government.
(The Globe and Mail – paywall)
 
The way the world works
Distinguished Fellow Margaret MacMillan takes part in a discussion about the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on the world’s alliances.
(BBC Radio 4)
 
Will the ICC investigation help or hinder peace in Ukraine?
Mark Kersten writes an op-ed.
(Al Jazeera)
 
Why it’s time for a ‘new seriousness’ to tackle policy challenges and take back our future
Senior Fellow Robert Asselin writes about the future of policy.
(The Globe and Mail – paywall)
 
The nuclear perils of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine  
Aurel Braun of CERES writes an op-ed about the nuclear perils of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
(iPolitics)
 
Canada’s push for Russian accountability at the ICC faces an uphill battle
An article quotes Mark Kersten.
(The Hill Times – paywall)
 
‘A human tragedy at the greatest scale’: Lynne Viola on how distorted history shapes today’s war in Ukraine  
Lynne Viola of CERES gives an interview about how Putin’s interpretation of history is influencing Russia’s strategy.
(U of T News)

Russian internet users are learning how to beat Putin’s internet crackdown  
The Citizen Lab’s John Scott-Railton talks about the role of consumers in combating censorship.
(CTV)

Zelensky asks more of Canada
Andres Kasekamp of CERES comments on the Ukrainian president’s appearance before the House of Commons.
(CTV News Channel) (CTV)
 
Facebook removes Zelensky ‘deepfake’ video that called on Ukrainian soldiers to surrender
An article quotes a tweet by John Scott-Railton.
(Business Insider)

March 4-11, 2022

While Canada welcomes refugees, its door is far from wide open
CERES and Global Migration Lab Director Randall Hansen shares perspective.
(New York Times – paywall)
 
The Ukraine dilemma
Janice Stein writes an essay about NATO’s strategic options.
(Foreign Affairs)
 
The West is feeling pressure to act in Ukraine – but that would make things even more dangerous
Janice Stein co-authors an op-ed about the problem with escalation.
(The Globe and Mail – paywall)
 
The war in Ukraine is not a spectator sport
Joe Wong and Adrienne Harry co-author an op-ed.
(Toronto Star – paywall)
 
Are we living through our 1930s moment?
Janice Stein discusses recent events with Distinguished Fellow Peter Mansbridge.
(The Bridge with Peter Mansbridge via Apple Podcasts)
 
News outlets scramble to set up technical workarounds in response to Russian censorship
An article mentions an open-source app created by Citizen Lab.
(Washington Post – paywall)
 
Suddenly the US and Germany have a chance to be effective partners
CERES senior associate Thomas Weber co-authors an opinion piece.
(CNN)
 
Georgia and Moldova join Ukraine in seeking EU membership.
CERES Associate Director Robert Austin discusses countries requesting to join the EU.
(CBC News Network)
 
The West’s sanctions campaign is going after Russia’s oligarchs — but it won’t be easy
Matthew Light of CERES comments.
(CBC)
 
‘A watershed moment’: U of T’s Lucan Ahmad Way on how the war in Ukraine could reinvigorate democracy  
Lucan Way shares perspective.
(U of T News)
  
How could the war in Ukraine end? Five scenarios to consider
Petro Jacyk Program for the Study of Ukraine co-Director Lucan Way explains possible outcomes.
(CTV)
 
When will the war in Ukraine end? Experts weigh in on possible scenarios  
Andres Kasekamp of CERES examines the possibilities.
(National Post) (Le Devoir – French language) 
 
Will a war crimes investigation de-escalate Russia’s aggression on Ukraine? Experts say it’s unlikely  
Global Justice Lab’s Mark Kersten say it’s unclear whether the move could sway Putin to de-escalate his government’s invasion of Ukraine.
(CBC)
 
International court to hear Ukraine case seeking halt to Russian invasion  
Mark Kersten comments on whether Putin fears the ICC.
(The Globe and Mail – paywall)
 
Russia-Ukraine war: It’s your responsibility to stop disinformation 
Gabrielle Lim of the Citizen Lab comments on preventing misinformation.
(Yahoo! Money) (Yahoo! Finance Canada)
 
Ukraine stops evacuation tied to ceasefire
Aurel Braun discusses Russia breaking the ceasefire with Ukraine.
(CBC News Network)
 
Canada’s sanctions against Russia
Aurel Braun analyses the latest sanctions for interviews syndicated widely throughout the country.
(CBC Radio: Here & Now)
 
Ethnic Russians in Latvia divided on war in Ukraine: ‘There is a big division’  
Aurel Braun comments on the perspective of older pro-invasion Russians in Latvia.
(Global)
 

February 25 – March 4, 2022

Elon Musk’s Starlink arrives in Ukraine but what next?
Citizen Lab’s John Scott-Railton urges caution with the new technology.
(CNN Online) (The Independent – registration wall) (The Atlantic) (BBC) (BBC) (International Business Times) (Washington Post – paywall) (Rappler) (SKY TV) (Reuters)  
 
Experts in Ukraine join Munk School event to discuss Russia’s invasion of the country – and what happens next
A story describes the discussion at a recent Munk School event.
(U of T News) (Russia’s Attack on Ukraine: An Expert Roundtable)
 
Why does NATO send aid but not troops?
Petro Jacyk Program for the Study of Ukraine co-Director Lucan Way discusses the Ukrainian crisis.
(CBC Radio: Here & Now) (Zoomer Radio)  
 
Putin’s war brings past to the present, and makes future uncertain
Distinguished Fellow Margaret MacMillan writes an op-ed.
(The Globe and Mail – paywall)
 
Why invading Ukraine upends the world order
Janice Stein discusses Putin’s words and actions.
(TVO: The Agenda) (CBC Radio: The World This Weekend – begins at 8:17) (CBC News Network)
 
Explainer: What constitutes a war crime? 
Global Justice Lab’s Mark Kersten offers comment.
(Deutsche Welle)
 
Canada’s role in Ukraine
CERES Director Randall Hansen shares his insights.
(CTV)
 
What is the Budapest Memorandum and how does it impact the current crisis in Ukraine?
CERES Associate Director Robert Austin describes some of the complexities of the conflict.
(CTV)
 
Ottawa takes aim at Russian propaganda on Canadian TV  
Citizen Lab Director Ronald Deibert talks about disinformation.
(Toronto Star – paywall)
 
Putin is a war criminal and should be treated as such
Mark Kersten writes an op-ed.
(Al Jazeera)
 
Assessment of Russian and Ukrainian peace talks
Andres Kasekamp of CERES talks about the latest developments.
(CTV)
 
Lessons from the past
Margaret MacMillan looks back at history for keys to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
(BBC Radio 4)
 
Ukraine crisis magnifies importance of Canada’s NATO mission in Latvia
Andres Kasekamp examines Canada’s role.
(Global)
 
What the Ukraine-Russia conflict means for geopolitics, trade flows and the global economy 
Global Economic Policy Lab Director Mark Manger analyses the ripple effects of financial sanctions.
(Financial Post: Down to Business Podcast) (Financial Post) (CBC Radio One) 
 
Russia-Ukraine War: Day 2  
New Munk School Fellow Jill Sinclair discusses Putin’s agreement to talks with Ukraine.
(CBC News Network)
 
What are Canada’s sanctions against Russia and how do they stack up to other countries’?  
Mark Manger comments.
(Toronto Star – paywall)
 
Russia invasion continues despite peace talks
Robert Austin discusses the potential for a ceasefire.
(CP24)
 
Who is Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy?
Robert Austin shares context on the Ukrainian leader.
(City)
 
When and how is the CSE disrupting international cybercrime?
Christopher Parsons of Citizen Lab writes about recourse against cybercriminals.
(Policy Options)
 
‘Don’t bet against us’: Retired American Admiral James Stavridis talks Russia’s Ukraine invasion and why democracies will ultimately prevail  
Janice Stein takes part in a discussion of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
(The Hub)
 
Canada’s zombie policy proposal
Christopher Parsons gives an interview.
(Law Bytes Podcast)
 
Is Putin sanction-proof? Why hurting ‘Fortress Russia’ is much harder than it seems  
Aurel Braun of CERES shares remarks.
(Toronto Star – paywall)
 
Russia’s war on Ukraine  
Andres Kasekamp discusses Putin’s approach.
(CBC News Network)
 
Ottawa to help Ukraine expedite petition to probe alleged war crimes by Russian forces  
Mark Kersten comments on the investigation into war crimes.
(Globe and Mail – paywall)
 
Kremlin: Western sanctions won’t work
Raji Jayaraman discusses the economic pressure on Russia.
(CTV News Channel)
 
Threat of having ‘successful, stable democracy next door’ led Putin to invade Ukraine  
Aurel Braun shares perspective.
(National Post – paywall)

February 18-25, 2022

Why does Russia want to invade Ukraine?  
Janice Stein discusses events as they unfold.
(CBC: The National) (CBC: The National) (Zoomer Radio)
 
‘Absolutely tragic’: The Munk School’s Janice Stein on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
Janice Stein shares insight on what to expect of this conflict.
(U of T News) (Munk School)  

Why the West cares about the situation in Russia-Ukraine  
CERES Associate Director Robert Austin examines the developments.
(CTV) (CP24)
 
Experts say Russia and Canada don’t trade enough for sanctions to truly hurt 
Mark Manger explains the value of Canada’s trade relationship with Russia.
(Toronto Star – paywall)
 
Putin has ordered troops into eastern Ukraine. Here’s what it means for the world
Janice Stein, Jon Lindsay and Fellows William Thorsell and Rudyard Griffiths describe how the European security order has changed.
(The Hub)
 
Why is Putin attacking Ukraine?
Seva Gunitsky shares insight on how Putin may view threats from world leaders.
(Vox) (VoA News) (Bloomberg via Washington Post)
 
Western deterrence has failed in Ukraine
Aurel Braun writes an op-ed.
(The Globe and Mail – paywall)
 
Why is Russia invading Ukraine? Everything you need to know
Matthew Light analyzes Russia’s aggression.
(Toronto Star – paywall)
 
Russian troops in rebel-held areas of Ukraine
Andres Kasekamp gives context to Russian military actions.
(CTV News Channel)

BLOGS & ESSAYS

March 25 – April 1, 2022

The Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Randall Hansen’s take on the challenges Russia’s attacks have posed.
(UK in a Changing Europe)

March 18-25, 2022

Expanding Protection: Global Lessens from the Ukrainian Refugee Crisis
Ayelet Shachar discusses what the Ukrainian refugees mean for the rest of the world.
(Ethics and International Affairs)